Providing Enough Energy
Sunday, July 20th, 2008
Richard K. Lester, PhD, speaking at the annual meeting of the National Governors Association on July 14, 2008, states:
I would like to discuss the role of technological innovation in
solving our energy problem, and, especially, the important question of
what role for policy – state as well as federal – in accelerating the
innovation process. I want to begin with three simple messages.
Recent progress in the clean technology field has been substantial.
New kinds of generating capacity are being added –in some cases,
notably wind, at an impressive rate. Costs are coming down, albeit
sometimes more slowly than was promised.
Investment in next-generation technologies is increasing. The strong
interest of the venture capital community is particularly welcome.
Ambitious targets are being set. Some of the most effective policy
interventions are occurring at the state and local levels. California
has been a leader. In my own state of Massachusetts, important clean
energy legislation was enacted just this month. Other states are on a
similar path.
That said –and here is my first message – these activities aren’t
remotely close to the scale of effort that will be required to solve
the problem.
My second message concerns the future of nuclear power and of coal-fired electricity with carbon capture and storage.
These two options won’t win any popularity contests, and some would
fiercely dispute that they belong in the clean technology category at
all. But without large-scale deployment of both, especially in the
critical 2020 to 2050 timeframe, it is unlikely –to the point of
implausibility –that the world will be able to avoid serious and
perhaps even disastrous ecological and economic damage from climate
change.
Coal is an abundant, relatively low-cost energy resource that is
widely distributed around the world, and in the US we depend on it for
half of our electricity. We cannot continue to burn it as we have, but
we cannot afford to turn our back on it either. We must therefore find
ways to capture carbon emissions from coal-fired power plants and to
store the carbon dioxide safely underground, at reasonable cost.
Nuclear power is the only carbon-free energy source that is already
contributing on a large scale and that is also expandable with few
inherent limits. Public opinion has been gradually shifting in its
favor, but the failure to demonstrate and implement an effective final
disposal strategy for high-level waste remains a tremendous barrier to
public acceptance, no matter how many expert panels and commissions
opine that this is a technically feasible task.
The Yucca Mountain project may or may not meet the regulatory
criteria that will eventually be applied to it. But there is no doubt
that we can do better, and doing better should be a high priority.
No serious person would dispute the importance of these two
innovation goals: affordable carbon capture and storage, and safe,
implementable high-level nuclear waste disposal. But my basic message
here is that in both cases current U.S. policies are putting our nation
at least partly on the wrong track, and that this is almost certain to
cause further delays in the availability of viable coal and nuclear
power –delays that we can ill afford.
My third message is perhaps best conveyed by the poet Wallace
Stevens, born not far from here in Reading, PA. Stevens wrote of ‘the
lunatics of one idea . . . . in a world of ideas’. He was referring to
ideologues and fanatics, who, blinded by their single idea, couldn’t
see the world around them. But he might as well have been talking about
the energy debate, where such lunacy has unfortunately been all too
common.
The fact is that there is no single idea, no silver bullet, that
will solve the problem. First and foremost, we need new ways to use
energy more efficiently. But very likely also much bigger contributions
from solar, wind, biomass, nuclear, and also advanced fossil fuel
technologies. In our current circumstances, we can ill afford the
self-indulgence of those who –however well-intentioned – like to tell
the world that they are anti-this, or anti-that. (07/20/08)
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