The Myth of the Fuel Efficient Car
Saturday, February 28th, 2009
Alec Dubro writes: Let’s
get something straight about green industry: in its basic form it means
we all have to buy new stuff Ö lots of it. As an industrial policy that
will create jobs and increase spending, it’s pretty sound. As an
environmental policy, it’s largely a fraud.
Nowhere is it more disingenuous than the pursuit of the fuel-efficient
car. In their effort to stave off collapse of their industry, auto
executives have continually cited their efforts are building the
high-efficiency cars of the future. The problem is, there are no cars
of the future, and the looming catastrophe of global pollution,
including climate change, will never be solved by building more cars –
efficient or otherwise.
We’d desperately like to believe that there is a way to preserve our
car-centered civilization, while simultaneously placating the gods of
atmospheric warming. Even the president-elect believes it, and Obama
made fuel-efficient cars a central part of his energy policy. He
promised a $7,000 tax credit to hybrid car buyers, aiming for a million
plug-in hybrids, getting 150 mpg, by 2015. He wants to put an
additional million completely plug-in vehicles by the same year. And
he’s willing to federal funds up for research, or at least he was
before we lost all our money.
Even on its face, this seems like a tepid response to climate change.
At the moment there are upward of 250,000,000 registered vehicles in
the United States – more than there are licensed drivers. Converting
one percent or so of them to greater fuel efficiency is not likely to
do very much in the time needed to act. Nevertheless, the hope is that
introduction of a new generation of electric and semi-electric will
eventually lead to a replacement of our entire fleet of gas-guzzlers.
Maybe. But the bigger problem is that increasing fuel efficiency has
never led to an overall reduction in pollutants. In fact, efficiency
has always led to more production and consumption.
But there’s an even more profound problem with building more efficient
cars. In 1865, English economist William Stanley Jevons discovered an
efficiency paradox: the more efficient you make machines, the more
energy they use. Why? Because the more efficient they are, the better
they are, the cheaper they are and more people buy them, and the more
they’ll use them. Now, that’s good for manufacturers and maybe good for
consumers, but if the problem is energy consumption or pollution, it’s
not good. (02/28/09)
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